Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:38.13% (+5.15%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8179 | 5.18 | |
| 0.3261 | 2.71 | |
| 0.1217 | 1.52 | |
| -0.3468 | -1.78 | |
| 0.6251 | 2.20 | |
| -0.4060 | -1.95 | |
| 0.0188 | 0.09 | |
| 0.2815 | 1.47 | |
| -0.3790 | -1.87 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 25, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 25, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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