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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.2461	5.06
$α$	0.0780	8.91
$β$	0.8940	84.43
$γ_{1}$	0.1401	4.46
$γ_{2}$	-0.2646	-6.07
$γ_{3}$	0.2256	9.09
$γ_{4}$	-0.1655	-6.49
$γ_{5}$	0.0951	3.38
$γ_{6}$	-0.0300	-0.97
$γ_{7}$	-0.0183	-0.43

V-Lab

Morgan Stanley Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:28.71% (+0.88%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

Other Morgan Stanley Analyses