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V-Lab

Toyo Securities Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

33.86%

increased by 11.09%

1 Week

31.17%

increased by 8.40%

1 Month

30.79%

increased by 8.02%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Toyo Securities Co Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 13, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 289% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1057
18.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6835
6.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

-0.5984
-12.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4039
4.80***

Persistence:

-0.598

Half-life:

-