V-Lab
RB Capital Renda I Fundo DE GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
38.66%
increased by 17.73%
1 Week
36.81%
increased by 15.88%
1 Month
31.62%
increased by 10.69%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 24, 2012 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1303 | 4.78*** |
| αARCH | 0.1256 | 3.64*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7921 | 23.61*** |
| γleverage | 0.0205 | 0.26 |
0.928
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1303 | 4.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1256 | 3.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7921 | 23.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0205 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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