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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.9670	3.26
$α$	0.2561	3.39
$β$	0.4523	3.24
$γ_{1}$	-1.2000	-1.75

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Fifth District Bancorp Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:8.67% (+0.43%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

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