First Business Financial Services Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:21.26% (-0.63%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6953 | 1.90 | |
| 0.1136 | 6.93 | |
| 0.8109 | 27.44 | |
| 0.3331 | 0.66 | |
| -1.1100 | -1.71 | |
| 1.2977 | 4.06 | |
| -0.3483 | -0.89 | |
| -0.6919 | -1.49 | |
| 1.0503 | 2.78 | |
| -0.9053 | -3.36 | |
| 0.5436 | 2.27 | |
| -0.1192 | -0.43 | |
| -0.4268 | -1.05 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 7, 2005 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 7, 2005 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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