Catalyst Bancorp Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:14.13% (-1.80%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9992 | 2.90 | |
| 0.4316 | 5.86 | |
| 0.4427 | 7.95 | |
| 15.1204 | 3.27 | |
| -27.5448 | -4.06 | |
| 25.8284 | 5.14 | |
| -25.0121 | -3.89 | |
| 9.6745 | 1.31 | |
| 14.1575 | 2.33 | |
| -20.2530 | -3.59 | |
| 6.1503 | 0.87 | |
| 11.0304 | 1.30 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 13, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 13, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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