First Busey Corp Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:27.30% (-1.40%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9030 | 5.00 | |
| 0.1165 | 8.31 | |
| 0.8278 | 44.22 | |
| -0.0705 | -1.29 | |
| 0.0478 | 0.64 | |
| 0.1768 | 3.90 | |
| -0.3601 | -6.52 | |
| 0.3213 | 5.47 | |
| -0.1358 | -2.63 | |
| 0.0526 | 0.99 | |
| -0.0945 | -1.43 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 4, 1994 to Feb 13, 2026
Apr 4, 1994 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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