BTC Digital Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:132.67% (+16.44%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1440 | 3.50 | |
| 0.4047 | 3.07 | |
| 0.3994 | 4.41 | |
| 14.2039 | 5.54 | |
| -19.9903 | -3.74 | |
| 4.5256 | 0.82 | |
| 0.9758 | 0.21 | |
| 0.5207 | 0.15 | |
| 1.1992 | 0.39 | |
| -4.8301 | -1.48 | |
| 8.9218 | 2.91 | |
| -12.9464 | -3.63 | |
| 16.9650 | 3.39 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 17, 2018 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 17, 2018 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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