AmeriServ Financial Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:51.52% (-4.77%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1135 | 5.65 | |
| 0.1655 | 8.35 | |
| 0.7877 | 37.39 | |
| -0.0900 | -1.56 | |
| 0.1692 | 1.95 | |
| -0.0533 | -0.80 | |
| -0.1579 | -2.43 | |
| 0.3372 | 5.58 | |
| -0.4335 | -6.91 | |
| 0.3306 | 5.11 | |
| -0.1176 | -1.59 | |
| 0.0825 | 0.84 | |
| -0.0875 | -0.68 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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