Arrow Financial Corp Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:23.66% (-1.05%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4174 | 7.04 | |
| 0.1274 | 10.14 | |
| 0.8051 | 43.05 | |
| -0.1621 | -3.38 | |
| 0.2297 | 2.91 | |
| -0.0332 | -0.56 | |
| -0.0781 | -1.67 | |
| 0.1037 | 2.56 | |
| -0.1858 | -4.41 | |
| 0.2598 | 5.86 | |
| -0.2002 | -4.51 | |
| 0.1331 | 2.56 | |
| -0.1720 | -2.30 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 5, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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