Bridger Aerospace GP HLD Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
95.85%
decreased by 3.73%
1 Week
95.85%
decreased by 3.73%
1 Month
95.85%
decreased by 3.73%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0015 | 3.20 | |
| 0.0658 | 9.15 | |
| 0.8923 | 91.10 | |
| 0.1249 | 4.05 | |
| 2.9659 | 13.75 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 22, 2021 to May 22, 2026
Jan 22, 2021 to May 22, 2026
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