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Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:3.77% (+0.15%)
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF SGARCH
paramt-stat
ω0.61694.32
α0.14852.98
β0.783917.36
γ1-0.4977-2.28
γ20.92602.87
γ3-0.8188-3.42
γ40.72082.81
γ5-0.7217-3.25
γ61.19296.10
γ7-1.5734-7.40
γ80.92203.24
Estimation Period:
Nov 23, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts