Vanguard High-Yield Actv ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:3.85% (-0.27%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7406 | 2.85 | |
| 0.1380 | 0.65 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -16.8963 | -0.89 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 17, 2025 to Feb 6, 2026
Sep 17, 2025 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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