Vanguard U.S. Value Factor Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:19.76% (-1.63%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6314 | 7.10 | |
| 0.1516 | 6.30 | |
| 0.7973 | 29.14 | |
| -0.0263 | -1.70 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 15, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 15, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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