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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.5830	3.02
$α$	0.2316	8.64
$β$	0.7643	27.62
$γ_{1}$	0.0270	0.65

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Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - January Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:6.97% (-0.83%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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