Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - December Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:7.86% (-0.80%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3371 | 2.98 | |
| 0.2408 | 5.96 | |
| 0.7502 | 18.89 | |
| -3.1091 | -2.34 | |
| 3.6186 | 1.69 | |
| 2.5720 | 1.28 | |
| -7.3832 | -3.97 | |
| 8.2148 | 5.38 | |
| -7.4477 | -2.87 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 2, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
Dec 2, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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