ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:21.06% (+2.54%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2287 | 7.16 | |
| 0.0627 | 4.83 | |
| 0.8977 | 48.25 | |
| 0.0103 | 0.42 | |
| -0.0210 | -0.57 | |
| 0.0694 | 2.80 | |
| -0.1932 | -5.84 |
Estimation Period:
May 22, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
May 22, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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