Invesco Short Term Treasury ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:0.73% (0.00%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1147 | 2.60 | |
| 0.3229 | 4.78 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -4.4766 | -2.18 | |
| 4.4241 | 1.41 | |
| 1.0988 | 0.53 | |
| -3.9551 | -1.84 | |
| 5.2568 | 2.84 | |
| -1.6176 | -1.24 | |
| -0.9193 | -0.87 | |
| -1.4972 | -1.54 | |
| 4.1553 | 3.99 | |
| -5.2303 | -2.68 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 12, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 12, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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