Simplify Volatility Premium ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:16.80% (-2.56%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8821 | 3.12 | |
| 0.2118 | 4.04 | |
| 0.6611 | 9.65 | |
| -1.2131 | -1.41 | |
| 1.1261 | 0.90 | |
| 2.6622 | 3.11 | |
| -6.6476 | -4.33 |
Estimation Period:
May 13, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
May 13, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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