PICTON Market Neutral Equity Alternative Fund Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:5.41% (+0.12%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8680 | 3.16 | |
| 0.1670 | 3.11 | |
| 0.4306 | 2.99 | |
| 4.1152 | 2.15 | |
| -9.0410 | -2.79 | |
| 7.4010 | 2.27 | |
| -1.9755 | -0.72 | |
| -3.6421 | -1.81 | |
| 5.6939 | 2.91 | |
| -2.8150 | -1.27 | |
| 2.0143 | 1.10 | |
| -6.4312 | -3.65 | |
| 10.4650 | 4.02 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 16, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 16, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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