PICTON Long Short Equity Alternative Fund Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:10.71% (-1.51%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8859 | 2.03 | |
| 0.1763 | 3.21 | |
| 0.3348 | 1.76 | |
| -1.2709 | -0.45 | |
| 1.6249 | 0.40 | |
| -1.5448 | -0.71 | |
| 2.3464 | 1.68 | |
| -0.5525 | -0.53 | |
| -2.7915 | -2.50 | |
| 5.4176 | 3.46 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 15, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 15, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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