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NVIDIA Corp GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, November 4th, 2026

1 Day

38.57%

increased by 0.12%

1 Week

39.06%

increased by 0.61%

1 Month

40.88%

increased by 2.43%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/03/2024

to

11/03/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NVIDIA Corp GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 125 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~125 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1080
2.94***
αARCH0.0535
5.68***
βGARCH0.9409
96.53***

0.994

Persistence

125d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1080
2.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0535
5.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9409
96.53***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

125 days