PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 12 ETF - May Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:5.82% (+0.50%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0651 | 3.76 | |
| 0.1793 | 2.64 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 130.4503 | 3.05 | |
| -221.1328 | -3.37 | |
| 141.6436 | 3.30 | |
| -69.9243 | -1.88 | |
| 89.3692 | 2.70 | |
| -207.0951 | -5.77 | |
| 210.1027 | 5.05 | |
| -56.6595 | -1.31 | |
| -70.9595 | -1.43 | |
| 149.0033 | 2.73 |
Estimation Period:
May 1, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
May 1, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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