iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:1.93% (+0.17%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2491 | 0.98 | |
| 0.0945 | 2.36 | |
| 0.8610 | 14.55 | |
| -2.1660 | -1.44 | |
| 2.5829 | 1.07 | |
| -1.5006 | -0.65 | |
| 2.4473 | 1.21 | |
| -2.2405 | -1.88 | |
| 1.9787 | 2.69 | |
| -1.8411 | -2.74 | |
| 0.7090 | 1.28 | |
| 0.0363 | 0.06 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 24, 2012 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 24, 2012 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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