Invesco High Yield Bond Factor ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:2.85% (-0.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5207 | 2.97 | |
| 0.1543 | 2.99 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -3.0552 | -1.05 | |
| 9.8291 | 2.34 | |
| -12.5742 | -4.45 | |
| 4.8357 | 1.90 | |
| 4.1048 | 2.00 | |
| -6.6591 | -3.48 | |
| 8.6983 | 3.29 | |
| -10.4805 | -2.96 | |
| 7.6368 | 1.80 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 3, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 3, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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