iShares iBonds Dec 2026 Term Treasury ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:0.75% (-0.01%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5392 | 4.11 | |
| 0.0789 | 2.17 | |
| 0.4907 | 2.81 | |
| 11.3328 | 4.70 | |
| -14.4079 | -3.68 | |
| 5.9782 | 2.20 | |
| -5.7112 | -3.17 | |
| 2.8520 | 1.92 | |
| -0.1123 | -0.07 | |
| -0.5128 | -0.33 | |
| 2.4879 | 1.35 | |
| -5.3374 | -1.93 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 28, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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