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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.6090	9.78
$α$	0.1802	6.67
$β$	0.7336	21.65
$γ_{1}$	-0.0111	-2.24

V-Lab

Fidelity MSCI Financials Index ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:19.69% (+3.28%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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