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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.9823	7.84
$α$	0.1127	6.50
$β$	0.8505	41.86
$γ_{1}$	0.0025	0.38

V-Lab

Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:16.70% (+2.53%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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