UVA Unconstrained Medium-Term Fixed Income ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:5.57% (-0.32%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8693 | 1.63 | |
| 0.1747 | 5.07 | |
| 0.8046 | 35.54 | |
| 3.0835 | 0.85 | |
| -11.8049 | -1.30 | |
| 19.4718 | 1.62 | |
| -16.2456 | -1.72 | |
| 7.8703 | 1.97 | |
| -3.7184 | -1.58 | |
| 0.8414 | 0.31 | |
| 1.3441 | 0.39 | |
| -1.0858 | -0.38 | |
| -0.7201 | -0.28 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 21, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Aug 21, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other UVA Unconstrained Medium-Term Fixed Income ETF Analyses
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