Fidelity Fundamental Emerging Markets ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:28.75% (+6.27%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2558 | 2.99 | |
| 0.1636 | 1.60 | |
| 0.2875 | 0.59 | |
| -31.9887 | -3.72 | |
| 41.1392 | 3.29 | |
| -6.0299 | -0.56 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 21, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
Nov 21, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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