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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.7218	4.64
$α$	0.0806	4.67
$β$	0.9074	53.37
$γ_{1}$	-0.0078	-0.84

V-Lab

Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:26.67% (+0.92%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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