First Trust S&P 500 DI F C F Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:18.61% (-1.28%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1369 | 3.87 | |
| 0.0986 | 2.10 | |
| 0.7759 | 9.89 | |
| 1.6615 | 2.34 | |
| -3.1263 | -2.07 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 25, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
Aug 25, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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