First Trust California Municipal High Income ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:1.83% (-0.25%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9760 | 2.26 | |
| 0.1819 | 5.66 | |
| 0.6986 | 17.48 | |
| -0.4900 | -0.60 | |
| 0.8179 | 0.76 | |
| -0.7849 | -1.04 | |
| 1.5907 | 1.92 | |
| -2.4493 | -3.78 | |
| 2.2848 | 3.81 | |
| -2.8334 | -2.74 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 27, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 27, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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