First Trust Alternative Absolute Return Strategy ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:13.17% (-1.51%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7368 | 2.78 | |
| 0.2007 | 3.67 | |
| 0.4766 | 7.08 | |
| 1.8061 | 2.13 | |
| -3.6772 | -3.25 | |
| 3.6224 | 4.01 | |
| -2.4767 | -2.03 | |
| 0.7680 | 0.71 | |
| -0.6553 | -0.95 | |
| 1.1267 | 2.19 | |
| -0.0919 | -0.17 | |
| -1.0606 | -1.19 |
Estimation Period:
May 23, 2016 to Feb 6, 2026
May 23, 2016 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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