iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:24.19% (-1.43%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5294 | 6.05 | |
| 0.1015 | 3.81 | |
| 0.8378 | 24.10 | |
| 0.0766 | 3.88 | |
| -0.1322 | -3.49 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 16, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 16, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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