V-Lab
Boardwalk Real Estate Investment Trust MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
17.60%
increased by 0.91%
1 Week
18.55%
increased by 1.86%
1 Month
19.67%
increased by 2.98%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:02 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 6, 1994 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.1273 | 5.97*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6196 | 14.34*** |
| γleverage | 0.0594 | 1.72* |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0067 | 1.84* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0129 | 3.63*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9846 | 236.06*** |
0.777
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1273 | 5.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6196 | 14.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0594 | 1.72* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0067 | 1.84* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0129 | 3.63*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9846 | 236.06*** |
Persistence:
0.777
Half-life:
3 days
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