V-Lab
Boardwalk Real Estate Investment Trust GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
19.15%
increased by 0.10%
1 Week
19.47%
increased by 0.42%
1 Month
20.62%
increased by 1.57%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:01 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 6, 1994 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 85 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~85 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0363 | 3.26*** |
| αARCH | 0.0427 | 2.74*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9312 | 100.05*** |
| γleverage | 0.0360 | 1.43 |
0.992
Persistence85d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0363 | 3.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0427 | 2.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9312 | 100.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0360 | 1.43 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
85 days
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