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James Hardie Industries PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

284.00

decreased by 12.38

1 Week

280.82

decreased by 15.56

1 Month

289.25

decreased by 7.13

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/28/2024

to

09/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of James Hardie Industries PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4797
0.64
αARCH0.0463
3.37***
βGARCH0.9530
161.04***
γleverage0.0014
0.06

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4797
0.64
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0463
3.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9530
161.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0014
0.06

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-