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V-Lab

Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg Co EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

27.90%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

28.15%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Month

29.06%

increased by 0.48%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 01:42 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg Co EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 1995 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 53% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 53% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0241
4.03***
αARCH0.1293
10.28***
βGARCH0.9863
343.20***
γleverage-0.0269
-1.99**

0.986

Persistence

50d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0241
4.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1293
10.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9863
343.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0269
-1.99**

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days