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V-Lab

Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg Co MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

25.61%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

25.84%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Month

26.70%

increased by 0.57%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg Co MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 1995 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 58-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0554
1.64
αARCH0.1341
10.07***
βGARCH0.8540
91.85***

0.988

Persistence

58d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0554
1.64
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1341
10.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8540
91.85***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days