Panbrothers Tbk EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
71.18%
increased by 1.99%
1 Week
72.89%
increased by 3.70%
1 Month
78.45%
increased by 9.26%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 05:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 20, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 14% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1541 | 15.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2349 | 23.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9568 | 264.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0157 | -2.42** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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