First Trust Indxx Critical Metals ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
38.69%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
38.69%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
38.69%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7580 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 1.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -8.5665 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 5, 2025 to May 22, 2026
Nov 5, 2025 to May 22, 2026
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