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Klepierre GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

18.49%

increased by 3.06%

1 Week

19.00%

increased by 3.57%

1 Month

20.67%

increased by 5.24%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Klepierre GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 30-day half-lifev = 4.24 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.0822
1.37
αARCH0.0950
7.41***
βGARCH0.9775
56.41***
νDF4.2369
3.07***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.0822
1.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0950
7.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9775
56.41***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2369
3.07***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days