First Steamship Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
37.77%
decreased by 2.51%
1 Week
39.03%
decreased by 1.25%
1 Month
41.55%
increased by 1.27%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5151 | 10.45 | |
| 0.1673 | 9.73 | |
| 0.7267 | 28.51 | |
| 0.0062 | 0.23 | |
| 0.0432 | 0.95 | |
| -0.0915 | -2.57 | |
| 0.0639 | 1.95 | |
| -0.0634 | -1.85 | |
| 0.0731 | 2.08 | |
| -0.0140 | -0.34 | |
| -0.0827 | -1.70 | |
| 0.2032 | 3.08 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1990 to May 15, 2026
Jan 4, 1990 to May 15, 2026
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