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V-Lab

Warehouses De Pauw CVA Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

19.57%

increased by 3.72%

1 Week

20.38%

increased by 4.53%

1 Month

22.62%

increased by 6.77%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Warehouses De Pauw CVA AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1367
1.26
αARCH0.3224
1.15
βGARCH0.7639
10.54***
γleverage-0.2644
-0.82

0.954

Persistence

15d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1367
1.26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3224
1.15
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7639
10.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2644
-0.82

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days