V-Lab
Warehouses De Pauw CVA EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
26.32%
increased by 4.98%
1 Week
21.25%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Month
19.65%
decreased by 1.69%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026σ
EGARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6912 | 2.50** |
| αARCH | 0.2026 | 2.15** |
| βGARCH | -0.8665 | -12.59*** |
| γleverage | -0.0609 | -1.45 |
-0.866
Persistence-
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6912 | 2.50** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2026 | 2.15** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | -0.8665 | -12.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0609 | -1.45 |
Persistence:
-0.866
Half-life:
-
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