Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

SBA Communications Corp Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

30.82%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Week

31.43%

increased by 0.35%

1 Month

33.51%

increased by 2.43%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SBA Communications Corp SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 1999 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 38 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3369
9.37***
αARCH0.0664
8.49***
βGARCH0.9156
99.32***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0090
7.32***

0.982

Persistence

38d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3369
9.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0664
8.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9156
99.32***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0090
7.32***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days