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V-Lab
V-Lab

COMEX Gold MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

16.08%

decreased by 2.62%

1 Week

16.61%

decreased by 2.09%

1 Month

17.94%

decreased by 0.76%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 05:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of COMEX Gold MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 30, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1065
3.64***
αARCH0.3016
6.79***
βGARCH0.6308
19.99***

0.932

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1065
3.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3016
6.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6308
19.99***

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days