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Japan Hotel Reit Invt Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

17.78%

decreased by 1.37%

1 Week

18.74%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Month

20.12%

increased by 0.97%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Japan Hotel Reit Invt Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 14, 2006 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 153% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 153% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.1007
3.63***
βGARCH0.6097
12.04***
γleverage0.1538
2.54**
λ₁tau intercept0.0223
1.71*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0364
4.13***
λ₃tau persistence0.9578
78.56***

0.787

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1007
3.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6097
12.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1538
2.54**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0223
1.71*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0364
4.13***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9578
78.56***

Persistence:

0.787

Half-life:

3 days